Democrat Pat Ryan Wins Swing District In Disturbing Sign For GOP Over Abortion

Democratic congressional candidate Pat Ryan has won a special election to represent a hotly contested upstate New York swing district that many see as a bellwether. Supreme courtAbortion decision before 2022 mid-term elections.

In a battle between two Hudson Valley County administrators, the Ryan-Ulster County executive defeated neighboring Duchess County executive Mark Molinaro on Tuesday night to take control of the seat recently vacated by Democrat Antonio Delgado, who served as lieutenant governor. had resigned from his post to serve as The current governor is Kathy Hochul.

With 95 percent of the vote count complete, Ryan received 51.9 percent of the vote against Molinaro’s 48.1 votes, the Associated Press called the race.

For many observers, Tuesday night’s vote was largely regarded as one of the first major tests of voter enthusiasm since the US Supreme Court’s decision earlier this year to overturn the historic abortion protections established under 1973. Roe vs. Wade ruling.

Although voters in Kansas completely rejected A measure earlier this year to remove abortion protections enshrined in the state’s constitution, the New York vote, was the first match of Republicans and Democrats in view of that decisionThe competition is taking place in a highly competitive district in a state where abortion is currently legal.

Pat Ryan
Democratic congressional candidate Pat Ryan meets with voters in the 19th Congressional District of New York.
Photo provided for Congress/Pat Ryan

Before redistribution, 19 of New Yorkth The Congressional District—which includes parts of New York’s Hudson Valley and the Catskill Mountains—was traditionally considered a swing district in the state’s congressional map. President Joe Biden Won the district by 2 points in 2020. Barack Obama Won the district by a large margin in 2008 and 2012. and in 2016, Republican President Donald Trump Leading the district by 7 points. Until Delgado, however, voters in the district did not elect a Democrat to represent him. Congress Ever since Democrat John Hall won re-election in 2008.

calculate for Democrats After New York Supreme Court Gets Even More Challenging Congress’s newly created maps reversed Designed to Benefit Democrats, Leaving Republican With little competitive advantage in the district.

In early summer, the National Republican Congressional Committee placed NY-19 as one of six target seats it believed could flip across the state. According to campaign finance reports, the NRCC and the Republican-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund had invested more than $1.8 million in spending to oppose Ryan, an amount nearly three times more than what liberal groups had spent attacking Molinaro. Entering election night, progressive pollster Data for Progress projected Molinaro—a moderate—to win by 8 points, thanks to a relatively low turnout of young and college-educated voters, as well as the gravity of independent voters to the GOP. was excited.

But on the ground, Democratic enthusiasm was high, aligning with similar growth seen in elections this year in other Republican-dominated districts across the country.

In Ulster and Duchess counties – the source of nearly half of the district’s votes – early voting totals were heavily in favor of Ryan, while figures such as Hochul went to the district on Monday night to rally Democrats in the polls. Meanwhile, Democrats in the district hailed divisions within the regional Republican Party and Molinaro’s reluctance in the abortion debate as a potential boon for Democrats within the district, where Ryan’s campaign placed a heavy emphasis on issues such as abortion access.

“I think there’s a real conversation to be had here that voters in the Hudson River Valley are not culturally conservative, like voters in other districts that have traditionally voted Republican,” said Paolo Cremidis, a former New York state president. Democratic Party Official and Executive Director of the Outrun Coalition Rural Progressive Organizing Group Newsweek.

“I’ve seen a lot of democratic energy on the ground,” he said. “Molinaro refused to talk about the election and other issues that are extremely important to voters in the district right now, because he is stuck in a situation where he cannot reason about the choice. He is competent. Doesn’t really fine-tune his situation.”

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